Now that I am more awake I've been looking at the odds on the huge hand from last night and I was a 41.85% chance to win - it's about what I thought but it just shows how swingy this game will be if you get it all in pre-flop, any four cards can win quite easily and however good the hand you hold it is hard to be more than a 50% favourite against 2 random hands.
My omaha strategy needs to ensure that I take information like this on board - non suited A'a with no straight draws won't flop very well and I need to remember this pre-flop and not get over comitted. That said I'll still very happily get it all in pre-flop when I have AA as I will be ahead it's just not advisable to get 1/4 of a stack in as you can get stuck for a lot.
Omaha is very much a game where all the real decisions come on the flop, selection is important pre-flop but crucial once you know what draws you have. I think I'm pretty good at this and get my money in ahead most of the time but I obviously have a lot to learn at the game.
It's really interesting looking at the pot odds for individual hands - top set on the flop is always going to be at least 45% if no draws have made it yet and is likely to be ahead by a reasonable amount. This is good as it's certainly a hand I play to hit and then commit too, nice to know that my thoughts were right about the strength of this hand.
I may concentrate on omaha and play no holdem for a while - I find the game more interesting and think i have an edge which is larger than in other games, this may prove an unfounded believe but so far I think I've run neither good nor bad and am consistently winning!
Steve
No comments:
Post a Comment